阅读背景:

A Bayesian election prediction, implemented with R and Stan

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If the media coverage is anything to go by, people are desperate to know who will win the US election on November 8. Polls give us some indication of what's likely to happen, but any single poll isn't a great guide (despite the hype that accompanies some of them). One poll is subject to any number of possible errors, statistical and otherwise: the sample, the methodology, the analysis, or even deliberate bias.If the media coverage is anything to go by, peo




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